Dreamsongs Wiki


Diagnoses

I don't want to spend a lot of effort diagnosing why OOPSLA is declining, but perhaps we can see the path forward from the problems. The following occurred to me:

-rpg


My first OOPSLA was 1993, Washington. I went because I was designing an OO system with Expert System integration and I was reading conflicting articles on OO design techniques. As you all know, this was in the middle of the "methodology wars". I continued going because I returned to work energized, with good ideas, partial solutions, and a feeling that things were in flux.

If one can generalize from my own experience, perhaps OOPSLA needs an injection of controversy. But not by saying objects have failed, since that is either too close to home (reuse never really happened) or patently wrong (Java is everywhere), depending on your point of view. What I mean is that perhaps to attract attendees any conference needs to address the trendy controversy of the day.

--gh


I see two different kinds of decline


for want of a better word, InsiderDecline and OutsiderDecline. Because of the nature of the industry, I guess they are linked, but I also think they're seperable:

More likely this is market fragmentation followed by professional conferencetrainingsales people setting out to provide a better product to these punters.

To address InsiderDecline, we could set up a new little ''buzzy'' conference for 50-100 insiders. It's easy, and people here have already done it more than once.

How could we address OutsiderDecline? Do we want to? (if only to pay for the buzzy insider core at meets up at every OOPSLA). What would this look like? --JamesNoble


I believe OOPSLA has declined for two primary reasons:

--BjornFreemanBenson

Bjorn, your second statement about a small number of reviewers in a given area being bad for accepting innovation is interesting, but a little mysterious. Is this a "Wisdom of Crowds" thing, where diversity and independence of opinion can be more accepting or smarter? Or is it that a small group of experts in an area are either too protective of their area or else prefer only papers that bolster their own research ideas? -rpg


On the diagnosis note. The OOPSLA success in the 90s must be correlated with the dot com bubble. OOPSLA peaked at about the same time as that bubble's peak, and declined with it too. This is not coincidental. Companies (thought they) had plenty of cash to send people to conferences, especially software conferences with lots of tutorials and with a sneak preview of tomorrow's hot software technologies. OOPSLA was square in that role.

So, the decline in numbers isn't necessarily a bad thing or a consequence of the uncoolness of objects. (But I would say that objects were hyped almost as much as the internet.)

The question is: given this, how can OOPSLA shrink gracefully? [Agreed. OOPSLA so far has shrunk ungracefully. -rpg]

CristaLopes


Many interesting things that happened in the past 10 years didn't come from pure academia. I always regarded academics to be behind in the area of (OO-) software development, because they lacked the context of real software creation (some exceptions prove the rule IMHO). However, I do not have yet an idea how to change OOPSLA regarding this. --PeterSommerlad


What is your point? Nothing you said was controversial or new. Do you think that OOPSLA is driven too much by academics? Do you think we should try to give academics more context? -RalphJohnson


I suggest that the problem is: JavaKilledOOPSLA. -GuySteele
What is the CoreMeaning of OOPSLA?

Comdex has been cancelled for this year. Comdex is a technology trade show where many companies launched new prodicts. It was held in Las Vegas in November. The decline in attendance is interesting and seems to mirror what we've seen at OOPSLA.

| 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 |

| 206,000 | 200,000 | 211,000 | 125,000 | 125,000 | 39,229 |

This parallels the dotcom breakdown, and it is reasonable to argue that dotcom was based on Web Java. This implies perhaps that companies are not as interested in big-dollar, web Java-related conferences. -rpg


That last point of rgp seems important to me. We all know that OOPSLA is not a big-bucks conference, but maybe the people from industry etc. do not. We have to make sure that although OOPSLA is Java and sometimes web related, it is beyond the Internet bubble hype, and worth going to. --tla


Here are some possible reasons for decline:

-DougLea


Doug's last point really struck a chord with me. Early on, I would come away from OOPSLA with the feeling that I had learned something, but much less so in recent years. And that decreases the incentive to attend. I think the JAOO presentation model would be a great idea.

--NeilHarrison


And, perhaps relevant to the discussion, JAOO attendance increased significantly last year from the previous year. Indeed, it was the largest JAOO conference since it began seven years before. It is a fun conference with a focus on short sessions, panels and long tutorials.

This year they will be experimenting with running a number of more focused symposia on more leading edge (wrt the mainstream) topics and a stronger track bias to the short sessions and panels.

--KevlinHenney


The explanation that seems best to me is "dilution", but that term doesn't really capture how it happened: FailedBySuccess.

Many big things first hit the world at Oopsla, either formally or informally. These ideas then developed their own conferences, thereby taking away people and buzz from Oopsla. Some of this is reasonable and good, but it has been easy to overdo it, and this

results in many other small conferences and a dimished Oopsla. It's especially bad because Oospla always seemed to be the only real software design conference; not algorithms, not languages, not engineering, not process, but something more general. Agreeing on OO made for a helpful truce on an important issue, but the win was an emphasis on software design.

--RobertBiddle

(Maybe we should get pragmatic and consider WhyPeopleComeToOopsla.)


JamesKjx collecting some diagnoses from elsewhere on the wiki:

I see two reasons for the decline as well.

  1. Overall tutorial quality: When I first started attending OOPSLA 1
  2. years ago, I was able to take some quality tutorials from the real movers and shakers in the industry. The three amigos, the Gang of Four, Craig Larman etc. It was exciting to meet these people, and hear what they had to say. A lot of these people are gone now, and the tutorials are given by the likes of me. We gave a great tutorial, but was it work $8
  3. ? And who would spend that kind of money to see some unknowns speak.
  4. Cost, cost, and cost. I originally attended as one of Linda Rising's minions. Our company sent so many people on year, we represented over 1% of the total attendance. But companies stopped footing the bill in the late 199
  5. s, and I cannot afford to spend 2 - 4% of my yearly income to fully attend the conference. I go now because most of my expenses are paid for giving a tutorial, but even then, I don't pay for anything extra, and I don't take any tutorials. I'd like too, but they cost too much. Bottom line, is can we make it cheaper? Some suggestions:

    1. Choose cities with inexpensive flights, & cheap transportation.
    2. Choose convention sights with a good mix of nice hotels, and inexpensive, nice ones.
    3. Packages for individuals or companies allowing them to reduce costs.
    4. Free half day tutoral for every two half day sessions bought.
    5. Allow presenters to attend tutorials for free.

    --PaulBramble